Rate cut chances
2 Mar 2020 Futures now imply a full 50 basis-point rate cut at the Fed's March 18 monetary policy meeting. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of 29 Jan 2020 Inflation has risen to 1.8 per cent, partly because of the drought, further reducing the likelihood the Reserve Bank will trim the cash rate when it market expects the three-month average fed funds rate to take, along with the 5th to 95th percentile region; the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike or cut 19 Feb 2020 “The fact that inflation is evolving in line with its projections provides another reason not to cut interest rates in the near term,” said Ruth Gregory 25 Feb 2020 As recently as a month ago, CME Group's FedWatch predictive tool showed only a 4 percent probability of a rate cut and a 13 percent chance of 6 Nov 2019 Thailand's battle to keep its surging currency at bay is increasing the odds of a second interest-rate cut this year.
However, the key underlying measure watched by the RBA - the trimmed mean inflation - came in at 0.4 per cent during the quarter, pushing the annual rate to 1.6 per cent, still undershooting the
15 Jan 2020 three years last month, boosting the chances of a cut in interest rates from 1.5 per cent to 1.3 per cent, a rate last seen in November 2016. 23 Jan 2020 The chances of a rate cut at next week's MPC meeting haven't changed overall, but the chances of a cut based upon every piece of data have 7 May 2019 There's a real chance the RBNZ will cut rates this week after more than two years on hold. 29 Jul 2019 By Monday morning, trading in interest rate futures tracked by CME Group showed a 100% chance the Fed's monetary policy committee will
When are Interest Rates Set? The Reserve Bank of Australia's Board sets the official cash rate target at 2:30pm (Sydney) on the first Tuesday of the month
7 Jun 2019 The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher after weaker-than-expected hiring likely increased the odds the Fed will have to cut interest 15 Jan 2020 three years last month, boosting the chances of a cut in interest rates from 1.5 per cent to 1.3 per cent, a rate last seen in November 2016. 23 Jan 2020 The chances of a rate cut at next week's MPC meeting haven't changed overall, but the chances of a cut based upon every piece of data have 7 May 2019 There's a real chance the RBNZ will cut rates this week after more than two years on hold.
7 Jun 2019 The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher after weaker-than-expected hiring likely increased the odds the Fed will have to cut interest
Gundlach told Reuters that for the Fed to cut interest rates in July, the economic data has to be weak. Currently, the fed fund futures imply that traders are pricing in a 100% chance of a Fed However, the key underlying measure watched by the RBA - the trimmed mean inflation - came in at 0.4 per cent during the quarter, pushing the annual rate to 1.6 per cent, still undershooting the The chances of an October cut, as measured by the prices of fed funds futures and calculated by the CME Group, rose to 92.5 percent on Thursday following a weaker than expected report on the U.S. services sector. The prior day, the market indicated a 77 percent chance. A week ago, it was just a 49 percent chance. The fed fund futures market now show traders see a 72% chance of a rate cut at the Fed’s July 31 meeting, and an around 23% probability of a rate cut in the June 19 meeting. The central bank’s policy rate currently stands between 2.25% to 2.50%. Traders are convinced the Federal Reserve will cut rates next month. The fed funds futures market is now pointing to a 100% chance of an easing of monetary policy next month — a 64% chance of one rate cut to 2% to 2.25% range and a 36% probability of two cuts, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Note: CME FedWatch Tool calculations are based on scenarios that most commonly occur at scheduled FOMC meetings.With the unscheduled rate move on March 3, the tool may not fully reflect the latest market conditions. The tool is expected to revert to typical results after the March 18 FOMC meeting.
26 Jun 2019 Chances of a rate cut in the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) February monetary policy are almost ruled out because the Budget is inflationary in
23 Jan 2020 The chances of a rate cut at next week's MPC meeting haven't changed overall, but the chances of a cut based upon every piece of data have 7 May 2019 There's a real chance the RBNZ will cut rates this week after more than two years on hold. 29 Jul 2019 By Monday morning, trading in interest rate futures tracked by CME Group showed a 100% chance the Fed's monetary policy committee will 26 Jun 2019 Chances of a rate cut in the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) February monetary policy are almost ruled out because the Budget is inflationary in 6 Aug 2019 The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept rates on hold at its August Market is pricing in a 17% chance of a rate cut at 2.30pm (AEST). 5 Mar 2020 It's unclear if Tuesday's emergency 50-basis-point cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve will help immunize the US economy against 31 Oct 2019 The U.S. Federal Reserve cut short-term interest rates Wednesday for a third time this year to try to support the economy. But it signalled that it
The fed funds futures market now points to a 74% chance of at least a quarter-point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting, according to CME FedWatch tool. Traders are also pricing in two more cuts to the benchmark lending rate to a range of 150 to 175 basis points by the end of 2019.